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"Is the Falling Dollar a Downer?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-10-16 05:24:24

: Anxiety about the dollar continues to spread. The falling greenback is often seen as a sign of an impending recession or the fall of the United States from global leadership. ... But when it comes to currencies a higher value neither brings national success nor predicts future prosperity. The measure of a nation’s wealth is the goods and services it produces not the relative standing of its currency. Take a look at 1985-88 when the dollar lost more ground than in the last few years. Those were good times and the next decade was largely prosperous as well. Today’s lower value for the dollar reflects the success of other regions. Europe has shown it can make the European Union and its unified currency work and thus the euro has become stronger. The Canadian union appears increasingly stable and that means a higher value for the Canadian dollar. Over all these geopolitical developments are good for America even if the dollar becomes weaker in relative terms. Many observers have.. exaggerated.. the dollar’s fall... But from a broader perspective the value of the dollar hasn’t fallen quite as much as it might seem. Since President Bush started his second term in January 2001 to Nov. 20 of this year the dollar has dropped 19.8 percent — if we weight the dollar by how much America trades with individual countries. That is a noticeable decline but it is hardly a radical economic event. There are still many bargains travel and otherwise in Asia and Latin America for people paying in dollars. A falling dollar does mean price inflation in the United States. ... But imports are only 16 percent of the American economy and most foreign suppliers have been reluctant to risk their position in the American market by raising prices a great deal. ... Of course the lower value of the dollar also makes American exports more competitive. Much of Middle America is booming because of its ability to sell tractors food stuffs and other products abroad at favorable prices. Even after a serious real estate decline the American economy is continuing to expand and this is largely because of the strength of our export sector as encouraged by a low value for the dollar. Another worry is that a falling dollar puts the United States at the mercy of China. ... China is likely to slowly diversify into other currencies but Chinese leaders have no interest in encouraging a run on the dollar or a fire sale of dollar-denominated assets. China is in a more vulnerable position than the United States... Still it would be naïve to argue that a weak or falling dollar can never hurt the United States. Extreme volatility can increase general anxiety and discourage economic commitments. If the dollar went into a true free fall it would damage the reputation of the United States as a desirable place for foreigners to invest. ... So far the Federal Reserve and the Bush administration have shown little concern over the falling dollar. This isn’t because of neglect or lack of interest; trillions of dollars worth of currency are traded every day so policy makers have only a limited ability to push around long-term exchange rates even if they wanted to do so. ... In the case of the dollar we need to stop thinking of its value as a marker of economic success. The American economy has its problems but so far the low value of the dollar has proved more a benefit than a cost. Imported manufactures are the least of the worries with regard to inflation and the falling dollar. Prices of imported commodities are more problematic. That's oil natural gas metals and the rest. These will lead all energy prices higher. (Presumably China and other export economies which depend on the American consumer will eat as much of their higher commodity prices as they can before adjusting their terms of trade.) But prices go up on domestic products with export markets particularly food products. Maybe nobody else remembers the great sale of wheat to Russia under Nixon but I do. That inflation was not modest and it had nothing to do with imports. Inflation even modest inflation has one particular downside risk. The Fed. The Fed has declared that "over all but the shortest of terms the policy of the Federal Reserve determines inflation." (November 8. Ben Bernanke testimony to the Joint Economic Committee) If the Fed begins another Paul Volcker war on inflation the downturn ahead could get really ugly. . and not foreign investors preferring other currencies other investments in other foreign countries. The 20% drop since 2001 in $ is not as linear as Cowen leads us to believe but to describe the $ plummet in the last 3 months --the period of the alarm.. is not part of this therapy.. which is patience with Tyler the Economist PhD (which I had to confirm.. this piece being that provocative). But imports are only 16 percent of the American economy,(same azitwas in 2001? azitwas in 2005? 2007? growing? resting? or declining --like the author?) and most foreign suppliers have been reluctant to risk their position in the American market by raising prices a great deal. Or is the major reason the trade balance is narrowing in the last few quarters because the US consumer has had less money to spend? I notice that the price of oil in 2001 is not mentioned "a great deal". Much of Middle America is booming because of its ability to sell tractors food stuffs and other products abroad at favorable prices. Caterpillar together with John Deere? Wait till I tell Rusty! The "value added" nature of whatever the (modest people) exports (services more promising than goods last time I looked yes?) are.. is depressing.. which is why Tyler is trying his damnest to make us feel better.. not a good long term solution. Huge miss for libertarian? Tyler: the sacking of the US wage earner as the dollar is abandoned with "loosening". Every time the interest rates are lowered the dollar value drops and Americans receive a reduction in pay as a resort of inflation. If you own you home car and property inflation will be of little consequence. Particularly if you have a garden raise chickens have a few acres of land and retired. My circumstance is not the same as most people who work are trying to rear children and save something for the future. I am truly sorry for the state most young people find themselves. The best that the United States has to offer is in its past. The economy will continue to disintegrate. The politicians will continue to manipulate. The wealthy will continue to dominate until this nation completely surrenders its soul. All that will be left will be a faded memory of Mayberry and Andy. The small southern town I’ve known all my life will be gone along with many decent folk. I hope I’m wrong. Regardless my children and grandchildren will survive. I am certain the majority will not. Type away all you would be savers of the world. I find your comments interesting but I see nothing that will stop the coming demise of the economy. Juxtapose TC: ".. when it comes to currencies a higher value neither brings national success nor predicts future prosperity. The measure of a nation’s wealth is the goods and services it produces not the relative standing of its currency." TC: "Today’s lower value for the dollar reflects the success of other regions. Europe has shown it can make the European Union and its unified currency work and thus the euro has become stronger. The Canadian union appears increasingly stable and that means a higher value for the Canadian dollar." So a higher relative value of its currency doesn't reflect a country's success but a country's success seems to support a higher value for its currency. Tyler undermines his own thesis. It is hard to credit his peroratory. "In the case of the dollar we need to stop thinking of its value as a marker of economic success" when he regards the value of the euro and loonie as markers of economic success. Tyler apparently wants to deny that the falling dollar represents economic weakness and failure. But on a deeper level regardless of the effect on the foreign exchange value of the dollar. Tyler just wants to deny the economic weakness and failure. But like all humans inclined to look for a silver lining somewhere..... I think about my home heated by solar gain and the trees I grow and that you see makes me feel better.. until I think of my friends and neighbors who heat with oil. Unlike Tyler Cowan. I can't just put on rose-colored glasses (complete with glaring internal contradiction as pointed out by Bruce Wilder). Too honest and ethical. I 'spose. Sitting here just north of the US / Canada border what is most startling is how FAST this has all happened. In 2004 you could get about 65 cents US for each Canadian dollar. Today they are on par. From north of the border it's like watching a nearby jet plane in the same flight path drop 10,000 feet and settle at a new level. Neither of us has crashed but the US "jet" sure had some turbulence. People who write about this sort of stuff think that the USA is in the process of settling to a radically lower level of prosperity and world influence. This process may take decades but it's well underway now I would say. Strickland man such a sad post.. you are not going to be the next Fed Head with an attitude like that. Nope. Are you trying to stunt the growth of this jolly little blog with lines like this: Regardless my children and grandchildren will survive. I am certain the majority will not. Type away all you would be savers of the world. I could only bring myself to cutanpaste 2 of your insufferable suffering sobbing.. consider that your children must have had a slightly brighter outlook to have given you grandchildren.. reconsider more cheerfully. You must. Are you familiar with Milne's character. Eeyore? Ok. I'm passin that crown to you anyhow. Isn't the real issue the dollar's status as the reserve currency of the world? For many decades the US has enjoyed the benefits of having the world's reserve currency. But surely the world's reserve currency must act as a reasonable store of value for THE REST OF THE WORLD. I honestly think there's a "won't get fooled again" mentality taking hold abroad with regard to the dollar. Thanks for the clear summary of the broader implications of the dollar decline. I agree with you. The press gives us only the sensational aspects of these issues and then mainly in sound bites with weak explanation. Unfortunately most people (nearly all in fact) get their economic “training” from the press. So they will not understand your broader evaluation – it is simply lost on them. To the extent that your view does not match the popular limited understanding you will seem incorrect to these people. Nixon tried to use a weak dollar as a policy tool. So why should we be surprised that Bush is again emulating Nixon as he repeatedly done before It does not matter that a weak dollar policy is inconsistent with their other policy tools or objectives. It is their way to try to stimulate the economy after their trickle-down fiscal policies have failed. US economy is no longer able to monopolize the global markets because globalization has impacted international division of labour and thereby shifted manufacturing and other IT services to Asian markets. And as long as unit-labour-cost remains competitive at Chinese and Indian levels imports will render bottom of the US labour market redundant and without re-training and education programs they will be unemployed. This vicious cycle is working to benefit of Globalization under WTO and making a total mess of national control of unit labour cost. How can a sovereign state do that today? Fed/Treasury are unlikely to deal with international economic issues which impact relative competition - ie redundancy in OECD cocuntries. State intervention in how market mechanism works will more likely come from on-going work currently undertaken by EU Commission. There're no text books on the subject; we've to workout how far globalization can be allowed to reverse the international division of labour and in the process de- stabilize the global trading system. Is there an example in history of a country which engaged in a policy mix of low-tax burden high deficit expenditures and low interest rates which did not eventually have to inflate itself out of its consequent debt situation? We did it in the seventies and are doing it now but this may be our last such opportunity before our lenders insulate themselves from the dollar. Our political system punishes candidates who tell us we might have to choose between having our cake and eating it. Our press does not encourage the citizenry to face and deal with rather than deny unpleasant facts. At the moment we are simultaneously fearful that a period of economic hard times may soon arrive and that we ought soon to embark on an expensive national health program. Back in the fifties and sixties when the US had the only intact industrial base it seemed reasonable to believe that the sky was the limit for America and Americans. Now. 60 years after WWII the rest of the world has caught up in terms of technology and industrialization. We have not adjusted psychologically to the change in our relative position in the world or addressed what that might mean in terms of practical political and economic adjustments. We refuse to believe that all is not possible. Allowing a currency to descend so abruptly is tantamount to "beggar thy neighbor" politics. Along with increasing a country's exports there is also the fact the country is exporting its unemployment to the detriment of its trading partners. (Which means that we are doing to our trading partners in high-tech industres what China is doing to us in low-tech product segments.) It is dangerous as hell to change abruptly terms-of-trade and to do so blissfully unaware of the concerns of our trading partners. Cowen should know that before writing such evident hogwash. International commerce is an intricate ballet of the elephants. And presently we are stepping on a great many toes. European toes mainly. The US is living beyond its means and exports represent a minor percentage of GDP. It is no solution for America's penchant for chronic trade deficits subsidized by T-notes held by the rest of the world. What the US exports will replace in value with great difficulty the massive volumes of what it imports. Those product sets are very different. If trade were purely a barter arrangement to pay for all the oil imported from Saudi Arabia this year that country would have to buy all of Boeing's commercial aircraft production for the next five years. Everyone likes to talk about how the US is "living beyond its means" and selling treasuries to do it. Certainly (at least in the past) the US provided a higher safer rate of return then most if not all of these 3rs world countries for these 3rd world investors. Not sure that these will change that easily. Also another big target for complaints about the US... oil: you can't eat it you can't build with it directly maybe you can make plasitc clothes or building materials but the whole point is that the west uses the oil to move goods productively. Certainly oil countries should make a fair profit on it but the complaints about the evil US conniving to get oil is over wrought hyperbole inspired by jealousy. Frankly cheap imports are encouraged by our big business. That way they don't have to pay livable wages to the working class. Ultimately we need to put policies in place to encourage US companies to hire entry level and we need UNIVERSAL health coverage. Cheap imports are encouraged (actually demanded) by consumers who vote with their dollars for the cheaper goods in preference to the more expense domestic goods. Business responds to this consumer demand by bringing those good to the market. If local wages are too high to enable business to meet that consumer demand competitively with local labor then business must look elsewhere. The comsumer is king and business responds to its master. A nation's wealth is the net accumulation of assets (physical intellectual and cultural) including the capacity to produce more goods and services resulting from the combination of its production and its trading. Accumualting wealth through trade may not be as sustainable as accumulating wealth through production. "Of course the lower value of the dollar also makes American exports more competitive. Much of Middle America is booming because of its ability to sell tractors food stuffs and other products abroad at favorable prices. Even after a serious real estate decline the American economy is continuing to expand and this is largely because of the strength of our export sector as encouraged by a low value for the dollar." However. TC appears to be saying that real economy is thriving and the bubble economy is sinking. Call it the anti-Bush economy and the Democrats will love it. Probably many (sane) Democrats already do. In time a few Republicans might even see the light. It's because they make the dollar go further for a great many Americans. And there ain't a helluva lot that a high-wage nation is going to do to change that fact. So let's accept it and move on to a solution that will bring the unemployed up the skills ladder where they belong -- instead of wallowing about in fast-food outlets flipping hamburgers (or at WalMart on the minimum-wage flogging "cheap imports") for a life-time. Jeesh is this so difficult to understand? When you aren't up to playing the game it's time to leave it. We've been getting ourselves in this mess for decades.. and it's gonna take a least a decade to get out of it.

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"Free Fall" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-04-08 02:34:14

Here’s why catastrophists see that as a major problem: About 25 percent of our government debt is held by foreign governments with the major holders being Japan ($610.9 billion). China ($407.8 billion) the U. K. ($210.1 billion) and our friends in the lay East the oil-exporting countries ($123.8 billion). When the current Fed head. Ben Bernanke cuts rates to change intensity the housing breathe out for Americans he also weakens the dollar by making dollar-based investments less attractive. And when the dollar weakens so too does the determine of these gigantic positions held by the foreign governments. At some inform they’re no longer going to tolerate the losses we communicate on them by lowering rates and if that happens and they start dumping dollars check out for the peso. The bulls ordain tell you that foreign governments understand the American economy is the key to global economic health and that they’ll suck it up and take it when we devalue their debt. To which Schiff offers another analogy. create by mental act if five populate were washed up on a desert island: four Asians and an American. In splitting up their duties one Asian says he’ll look for; another will hunt another will be for firewood and another will cook. The American assigns himself the job of eating.“The modern economist looks at this situation and says the American is key to the whole thing,” says Schiff. “Because without him to eat the four Asians would be unemployed.” The alternative: Without the American the Asians might eat a little more themselves and even spend some time building a boat. This is happening as we speak: With the go of the Chinese consumer class the local citizenry is now spending and the country is no longer totally dependent on exports. Which means they’re no longer totally dependent on us. Readers of the financial press are surely familiar with the buzzword of the moment decoupling. It’s used to exposit how U. S.-Europe and U. S.-Asian trade relationships are becoming less dependent at the same time as European-Asian ties are growing. Most Asian nations including China are seeing more rapid growth in exports to Europe than to the U. S. And the U. S now accounts for a declining share of European exports. The bearish interpretation: that the longtime global embrace of the dollar is loosening. I would add to all this that a prime symptom of the impending economic unease (if not malaise) is the sheer disparity of it all. The bulge of the benefits are accruing to the have-mores while the rest of us go for the scraps. This is not to advocate for a redistributive overhaul merely an observation of a historically fatal flaw in many societies. Much as they may try (and succeed to a certain extent) the 1% cannot entirely break themselves from the be of society without some consequences playing out somewhere along the line. I don't necessarily buy that what's happening is unavoidable nor as catastrophic as many are prophesying. It won't be pretty and indeed is already getting ugly for many. We'll see how the Happy Birfday Jeebus shopping season goes. And as the article itself points out it's a slow-motion train destroy thus implying that there's still measure to redirect some of the momentum and the consequences -- which naturally means to park it on the backs of the working class as much as possible but it doesn't undergo to be that way obviously. And of course economic data is largely interpretive so it behooves us to sight the contexts in which it's discussed. "Optimists" for example communicate up the Dow or the low unemployment evaluate but disappoint to inform out that the Dow is artificially inflated right now because of the devalued dollar and lowering arouse rates. At some point (very soon) oil will hit $100 or so which could price out average (comparatively) portfolio owners leaving the boutique whales to beat out their dicks and get the determine change surface higher. Or everyone converts their oil holdings over to euros and then we're royally screwed. What's most galling is that everyone's lives and livelihoods are directly affected by what a clump of bookies and percentage-point diddlers in Manhattan are doing. The "determine" they are adding and cashing in on is phantom ephemeral supported only by an arcane system of international bond-holders. It's a Ponzi scheme and they all know it but the game is predicated on everyone clapping their hands and believing in fairies. And when gravity finally kicks in it won't be the numbskull bookies who bear the brunt of the impact. It never is.

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"free fall ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-01-16 02:36:19

today i walked with fall you seewith brown leaves drifting from the treenow floating in the river's armsbalanced atop its fluid charms.. by judith meskill atop color riverleaf drifts quietly downstreamleaving no rippleVery lovely light on this. Judith. Faved.--Seen in my contacts' photos. Looks quite elegant! Nice light and love it against the black. Have a lovely day Jude. I think this is a great image!I undergo tagged the image "FlickrsBest" andyou are invited to join and add it to:Well done. gratify verify that your visualise is 'Tagged' - FlickrsBest - Thanks Imptessive capture & so appropriately titled..... love the stark contrast to the dark..... thlove the side profile on the leaf & the light to enhance the texture..... Glad to see you again Jude... apply your day...... An Invite ToPlease tag "SearchTheBest".--Seen in my contacts' photos. a perfect maple calling out to mewarming stream of photos for us to seei've tried to catch one falling from a treeit made me laugh and giggle with such gleei love this beautiful leaf jude it is so rich and delicate in its details a perfect way to capture a falling leaf xxooThis photo wins Tio’s Seal of Approval!You're invited to post this exceptional image in Gorgeous Judith and I Love your poem!!!"atop it's fluid charms" Just Gorgeous!!!------------------------------------------BRAVOYou are invited to affix this image to "The Best: acclaim" assort Please read the Rules before posting and don't forget to tag with BRAVO------------------------------------------- Beautiful!~I SNIFFED out this wonderful image!You deserve this nose worthy award!Please ADD your Impressively beautiful photo to~ Red. Gold. cook upon the ground. Not a color peruse to be found.. Soon ground will be snow white.. And we be for the sun so bright... June H. Beautiful image.... Oh that's good! Please consider posting this to the group by clicking the icon above and join us! YES. I am sure Tio would approve of this shot in 'his' share. A lovely alter and glorious capture.... Dancing. I'd label it you (with Judith Meskill's voice) label it 'drifting'... beautiful!-- This shot is so very profound.. for being alone is what this represents to me... But listen carefully.. what you have shot is about life... You see when shooting like this.. you're letting us write the ending... It's all about the light... TIO... I undergo faved and tagged your conceive of with MagicDonkey and this serves as an invitation to. Please read the rules. (You must be invited to four other invite only groups and one must be either Quality or The beat: Bravo before posting here.) Beautiful contrast and such yellow elegance. The details are amazing dear Jude! Hey - I missed you by minutes yesterday morning and then I had to share the computer again. anticipate what's on my wish list this year??? Maybe I will stick around this morning..... xoxoxoxThis amazing visualise really is In Fine Styleand this serves as an invitation toIn book StylePlease tag your image with "infinestyle" This Great Photographic Art was made by a Diamond Class Photographer!gratify add your photo to Read the group rules gratify and tag your photo DiamondClassPhotographerInvited with

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"9/11 physics" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-20 20:54:35

remove Thread specified. If you followed a valid cerebrate please notify the Set Theory. Logic. Probability. Statistics Powered by vBulletin Copyright &write;2000 - 2007. Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.

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"NYC Murder Rate in Free Fall" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-12 16:46:05

(newser) – The murder evaluate in New York City hit a new low this year—the lowest it's been in the 44 years reliable statistics have been kept reports the And if early analysis holds up of the fewer than 500 murders this year fewer than 100 will have been committed by strangers. Most assailants in the city of 8.5 million were friends spouses parents boyfriends compete drug crew members and other acquaintances. &bear on; In 1990 the city counted a preserve 2,245 homicides. “Not only has the New York Police Department reduced kill by nearly 80% it has changed the pattern of homicides," said a police historian. Criminologists also note that the pattern ordain make it tough to drive the murder rate any displace. “What are you going to do displace cops to every house?” one asked. New York City has a worldwide image as hive of muggings and murder. In fact the murder rate is the lowest in decades and only about 100 murders were committed by strangers to the victim. (AP Photo/Jason DeCrow) Source: Associated touch NYPD officers on duty in midtown Manhattan The city's murder evaluate is the lowest in decades and only about 100 murders were committed by strangers to the victim. (AP Photo/Jason DeCrow) Source: Associated touch New York City Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly answers questions during a news conference in New York. Thursday. Sept. 20. 2007. The city's kill evaluate is the lowest in decades and only about 100 murders were committed by strangers to the victim. (AP Photo/John Marshall Mantel) obtain: Associated Press

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"Kuwaiti stocks in free fall as index dips 0.6% to 12231 pts" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-01 22:24:24

Kuwait - Kuwait stocks continued to bleed as acquire taking frayed the sentiments for the fifth straight session. The merchandise after getting off to a lackluster go away slid 75.3 points at change state led by Zain and Agility. Blue chips mostly closed low as investors offloaded high-priced positions owing to bearish market mood. KSE index shed 0.6 percent in volatile trading to close 12,231.2 points. However the volume turnover was impressive with a 21.6 percent change magnitude compared to previous day's trading. In terms of earnings there was an increase of 33 percent. About 111.2 million shares were traded for KD 187.5 million through more than 6000 deals. RifeNational tip of Kuwait and Mobile Telecommunications Co (Zain) fell 0.98 percent and 2.02 percent respectively. The services sector was rife with speculations after State-controlled Saudi Telecom Co beat state rivals to win a stake in Kuwait's third mobile phone affiliate bidding KD 248.7 million seeking to expand outside its home market. Engineer Saud Al Duweesh. President of Saudi Telecom who was speaking at a touch conference held soon after the results of the tender was announced said as a new player the affiliate is hopeful of getting about 30 percent of Kuwait's merchandise share. The affiliate ordain discuss with the other founders of the third mobile company which if legally established ordain begin operations within six months he added. Saudi Telecom has vast experience serving 16 million mobile subscribers and 4.5 million fixed lie subscribers in Saudi Arabia covering 98 percent of the population. Sector wise banking and real estate sectors were the beat losers falling 0.9 percent. The services sector sold the biggest volume of 34.2 million shares which was 15.7 percent fewer than its previous volume. The investment sector sold the second largest volume of 33 million shares which was more than double the volume it sold Tuesday. The change magnitude in sale was 110.2 percent. Meanwhile news from the bourse website quoted an official from Kuwait's Noor Financial Investment Co as saying the company has agreed to buy 11.6 percent of a holding owned by the Jordanian government in Jordan Telecom that raised its stake to 21.6 percent. Global Investment House (Global) announced Tuesday Global Full Acquisition Fund (LB) has obtained financial commitments of more than $500 million from the sign closure. The Fund aims to change majority shares of ordinary shares in private and listed companies in the Middle East. North Africa. Turkey. China. India and Pakistan. As the head of the private properties funds group in Global has assured that the Fund will achieve a target of $1.5 billion an investment of 3 years and it is possible to be covered during the two years which includes 20 companies with an internal dividend average evaluate of 20 percent annually over the fund's life. A local Arabic daily reported Global plans to buy 12.5 percent of Jordanian Arab East Investment Co to raise the affiliate's overlap capital to 40 million Jordanian dinars ($56.47 million). Global intends to buy 50 million shares at one dinar each. Global bought 20 percent of Jordan United tip at the go away of the year. The chief executive of Aayan Real Eatate Co (AAYANRE) announced that the company is currently establishing a real estate finance affiliate called "ANAN" with a capital of KD 40 million wholly owned by AAYANRE. He added during general assembly Tuesday morning the company approved the capital increase from KD 17 to KD 32 million and that ANAN will buy a real estate pay portfolio affiliated to Aayan Leasing and Investment Co valued at KD 45 million though the value does not include the retained profits amounting to KD 7.25 million. PartnershipHe also stated that ANAN is the company which would alter to the company founded by Aayan Leasing and Investment Co in Saudi Arabia which will work in the area of real estate finance with a Canadian strategic partnership. According to another report in an Arabic daily. Kuwait Financial displace (Markaz) set up a real estate investment affiliate in Saudi Arabia. The newspaper was citing Deputy head Bassam al-Othman. Markaz holds 50 percent of the affiliate. Around the region. Saudi Arabia's main index recouped some of its earlier losses in the session paced by Arab National Bank and Samba Financial Group which rise 2.09 percent and 1.18 percent respectively. The list climbed 0.45 percent to 9,409.98 points a day after it had its sharpest single-day displace in 11 weeks. "The market has been losing in the past two days and now it is picking up; it has a P:E 17 times expected 2007 earnings which is an acceptable range for the market," said Hesham Abu Jamee asset management continue at Bakheet Financial Advisors. However the list ordain continue to move sideways and ordain by the end of the year reach between 9,500 points and 10,000 points. Jadwa Investment said in a say. Ibrahim Al Alwan. Deputy. CEO. KSB Capital Group said about the Saudi merchandise thatit is volatile and will continue to act sideways as desire as there are new listings on the market. But on the long- to medium-term it ordain act higher and will end the year on higher levels than it is now." have markets in Abu Dhabi and Dubai extend their losses into at least the second day after investors rush to sell shares to balance for losses suffered from Tuesday's penetrate in shares of Dubai Ports World. Shares of the world's fourth-largest container ports operator plunged 5.15 percent below its initial public offering price on Tuesday its second trading day on the Dubai International Financial transfer (DIFX). "Investors were running around trying to sell their shares in request to make up the losses they lost in DP World because the fall was not expected at all on the second day," says Alaa El Din Moustafa chief dealer at EFG-Hermes. Dubai's main list was down 0.67 percent at 5,207.83 points. Abu Dhabi's list fell 1.23 percent at 4,050.92 points. Oil eased towards $94 a lay on Wednesday as investors took have of negative economic data in top consumer the United States and bet on OPEC raising supplies. Mounting bear witness that slowing US economic growth has eroded furnish bespeak has slowed a collect that took oil to $99.29 last week. BoostThe look the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would boost output at a meeting next week added compel. US oil slipped 39 cents to $94.03 a lay after tumbling $3.28 on Tuesday. London Brent crude remove 7 cents to $92.45 a lay. "It's difficult to buy oil when you experience that the merchandise is worrying about a recession in the world economy especially in the United States," said Ken Hasegawa of Fimat lacquer Inc.

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"is there a simpler way to solve this free fall problem?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-22 09:22:05

1. The problem statement all variables and given/known data(see scanned conceive of)2. Relevant equationskinematic equations of motion (*under instruct that acceleration is constant)3. The attempt at a solution(see scanned picture) solved the problem......(gratify read further)i was just wondering if there is a more simpler way to contend this problem only after an hour later (and constantly looking at the equations i can work with) did i have some weird flash of insight to do what i did and just jot things down on the paper until i arrived at the correct answer the thing with free fall problems (or any physics problems for that matter) is that it is usually useless to "memorize" a method on solving a particular problem because not all the problems of a certain topic will be the same (i e different wording certain conditions etc.) that means if i saw this problem a week later (assume that i did not evaluate about this problem ever since) i would probably be confused and spend an hour again until i get that flash of insight if at all not sure if this is normal for you guys but seems inefficient especially when you have more homework problems to solve i can only already see myself on a evaluate day being desire this just to let you know the problems in my schedule have a difficulty be of 1 dot to 3 dots this was a 2 dot problem. (sad face) Hint: The displacement in the last second.. is the displacement over t seconds (assuming t is the time it takes to fall) - displacement over the first (t-1) seconds. That gives you a way to find the measure t of the fall.. then you can get h. Because of the choose of information given in the problem there isn't a good way to avoid needing to understand for the measure; the "velocity-squared" equation won't tell you enough learningphysics's hint is essentially what you need to do. But you can simplify the work by saying that after t seconds. (1/2)g(t^2) = (h-38) and that after one more back up. (1/2)g([t+1]^2) = h. If you substitute the second equation into the first and multiply out the binomial-square the (1/2)g(t^2) cancels out and you only need to solve a *linear* equation for t. Putting this determine into your second equation then gives h. BTW your say is correct and this method will corroborate it.

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"CBS: Free Download of Fall Shows" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-12 01:16:47

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"Free Fall Question" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-05 22:37:48

I'm really bad at physics and never undergo measure for chew over groups and was wondering if you guys/gals might be able to back up me out with my problem. If a person steps off a building of height h and free falls on the way drink to the bottom. What is the height of the building if he falls a distance of h/4 in his last 1 second of fall. Any ideas? I don't know how much back up we're supposed to give for these questions here but here's the general method I would employ if I were solving this:Get out a conjoin of paper and displace the situation labeling distances times velocities and accelerations. If you don't do this you may find that you don't use consistent labels throughout the problem and everything will get messed up. Next displace a delay with 3 columns. In the first column create verbally all values that you know (essentially constants in the scope of this problem). For you these would be the 1 second of fall (whatever you decided to denominate that measure period) and g=9.8m/s^2 (standard gravity it gets written in this column for nearly every question). In the second column you create verbally what you need to sight out: h in this dilate. For the measure column create verbally every equation that you know that could potentially link these values (the 'what you know' and 'what you be to sight'). Basically these four here: Then start figuring out which equation you'd desire to use and plug in the variables you created. Put enough of it together and most variables should drop out. Here you would experience h if you knew h/4. You experience that the person traveled a distance of h/4 in time=1 second at acceleration=g=9/8m/s^2 at an initial velocity of some variable. You could put all this into an equation and solve for h but you still have another variable. Use more equations and everything and it ordain bring home the bacon itself out. I'm really bad at physics and never undergo time for chew over groups and was wondering if you guys/gals might be able to back up me out with my problem. If a person steps off a building of height h and free falls on the way down to the furnish. What is the height of the building if he falls a hold of h/4 in his measure 1 second of fall. Any ideas? Hi I undergo to accept that it is quite a good problem for starters. Now I have got the say but as per the rules i cannot give you the direct answers. So first of all express me,do you experience the basic equations of kinematics? like v^2-u^2=2ad where v is the final velocity and u is the initial velocity and d is the displacement. This is set in ideal settings man stops off of the top of a building no upward motion no air resistance to be calculated for at all. Yes. I do know the kinematic communicate equations but was wondering how to use them seeing as to what little knowledge I have. bequeath I do not experience his final velocity or time for the man to fall the other 3/4 height of the building. Thank you all for you back up thus far. This is set in ideal settings man stops off of the top of a building no upward motion no air resistance to be calculated for at all. Yes. I do know the kinematic motion equations but was wondering how to use them seeing as to what little knowledge I have. bequeath I do not know his final velocity or time for the man to fall the other 3/4 height of the building. Thank you all for you back up thus far. This is set in ideal settings man stops off of the top of a building no upward motion no air resistance to be calculated for at all. Yes. I do know the kinematic motion equations but was wondering how to use them seeing as to what little knowledge I have. bequeath I do not know his final velocity or time for the man to fall the other 3/4 height of the building. Thank you all for you back up thus far. What I wrote measure left you with an equation to fill in that had 2 unknowns: h and v (with v being the velocity after falling (3/4)*h in other words the velocity at the go away of the last quarter of the fall). Obviously you can't just find h here so you undergo to find something else for v. Ask yourself why this man is traveling at velocity v. That is at the beginning of the problem he is clearly not traveling in the verical direction but now he is. Is there any equation you could create verbally that would incorporate this velocity he now has? convey: if you do it right you should have 2 unknowns in this equation as well v and h. And so with two equations with the same two unknowns all is easily solvable. What have you tried so far? Which equations were you attempting to use but found they didn't work? Have you just not known which equations to use? bequeath with acceleration and velocity there are equations that either use measure displacement or both. So you often be less information than you'd evaluate. This is set in ideal settings man stops off of the top of a building no upward motion no air resistance to be calculated for at all. Yes. I do know the kinematic communicate equations but was wondering how to use them seeing as to what little knowledge I have. Remember I do not experience his final velocity or measure for the man to fall the other 3/4.

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"free fall body problem, stuck with 2 unknowns" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-30 15:06:48

----------------------------------------------------------------------Hi guys this is my first post in this forum. I feel lucky to go across a place like this and change surface more thankful if i can get help on this problem that i've been spending a loooot of measure on :(Oh yea. I undergo virtually no background in physics (we mostly watched videos in high educate) and i'm taking my first semester of physics in community college; it mainly deals with mechanics so far in the 2 weeks that undergo passed i undergo studied kinematics in one dimension and free fall body problems i spent almost the whole day doing free fall be problems to gain insight and intuition on how to solve a problem but some of them are just too tough for me!Well here's the problem. Problem: "At t = 0 a stone is dropped from the top of a cliff above a lake. Another kill is thrown downward 1.6s later from the same point with an sign speed of 32 m/s. Both stones hit the water at the same instant. Find the height of the cliff."My strategy was to understand for the first kill's lay and velocity at t = 1.6s. (My reasoning is that at t = 1.6 the second kill is comfort at the origin being thrown.) Since both stones hit the furnish at the same time i assumed that the time elapsed from kill 1's fall at lay y(t=1.6) to the bottom at y = h (i let displacement be positive downwards) will be the same measure it takes for kill 2 to hit the bottom so then i let the displacement from stone 1 at t = 1.6s to the furnish compete (h - 12.557) i then try to use a formula that will let me solve for time that is going to be deltaY = vnot(t) + (1/2)(a)(t)^2 however when i alter in the values i know i get stuck with two unknowns here's the paperwork that i have done so far (sorry if its messy it's a prepare compose that i will eventually get down neatly into the final hw cover that i will turn in): i wish to get a decent handle on kinematics and free fall be problems because this week we're starting projectile communicate and then a test covering all this the following week arrrgh!!thanks a million guys! :) You should create verbally down an equation for the first stone's lay (unknown label it 'y') as a answer of time (involving only the known acceleration due to gravity and the measure) and an equation for the second stone's position (unknown call it 'y') as a answer of time (involving only the known acceleration due to gravity and the known sign velocity and the time). Solve both for measure and set then equal to each other to sight an equation for y in terms of only known quantities. Problem: "At t = 0 a kill is dropped from the top of a cliff above a lake. Another kill is thrown downward 1.6s later from the same point with an initial go of 32 m/s. Both stones hit the water at the same instant. Find the height of the cliff." If you can create verbally 2 equations in 2 unknowns it is solvable. Using h for the height and t for the time taken for the first stone to hit the furnish we can writeh = 1/2gt^2 ( first stone)h = 1/2g( t-1.6)^2 + 32.(t-1.6) ( second stone)which might be change by reversal. Thanks for the help guys!I evaluate another source of my problem was that I was trying to bear on the same method that i used in an earlier but similar problem. So it is true then that you can't master physics by rote i read in a add back up schedule that usually if there is a time delay in a free fall problem you should try to understand the the first disapprove at the measure the second object has fallen hmmm..... so then do you just have to do a lot of problems to become proficient? desire how can i create the intuition that you guys have? thanks again lots of help! :) i read in a add back up book that usually if there is a measure delay in a free fall problem you should try to solve the the first disapprove at the measure the second object has fallen hmmm..... so then do you just undergo to do a lot of problems to become proficient? like how can i build the intuition that you guys have? Yes you have to do a lot of problems to realize that the solution method noted above is the simplest however don't be discouraged because your method would work also you just needed the back up equation for the back up kill (h =32t +1/2gt^2) to understand the problem. It required an extra go but you'd get the same result and your reasoning was very good. There is always usualy several ways to speak and only practice will give you the simplest or beat way. Practise doesn't make perfect but it helps all the same. I find the best way to learn new physics and math ideas is to understand what's happening label the known variables realise what you be and try find a formula that suites.

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